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Instructor
Chad Hoffman
College
of Natural Resources Phone: (208) 885-7115 Email:
chadh@uidaho.edu
Course Objectives
Models play an important role in fire and fuels
management. Models can be as range from simple regression equations
which estimate canopy fuel loadings to complex three dimensional fire
behavior models. During the course of this class we will discuss the roles, uses and
limitations of quantitative and qualitative modeling in fuels
management and planning. Topics covered in this course will
include the role and uses of models to make predictions in fuels
management, validation and evaluation of models, and
communication and interpretation of modeling results for
planning and decision making in fuels management.
Learning Outcomes
- Understand and appreciate the roles of
modeling and predictions in fuels management.
- Recognize when models could be used to
answer fuels and fire management questions and understand the modeling
options and alternatives to answer such questions.
- Understand the importance and develop
the ability to interpret model results and communicate the results
effectively in both written and oral fuels management planning.
- Successfully use, analyze and communicate modeling
results in a written fuels management plan.
Required Books
There are no required texts for this
course, we will use selected journal articles as a supplement to the
course lectures.
The following is a list of a few
recommended texts:
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Canham, C.D., Cole, J.J. and Lauenroth,
W.K. 2003. Models in Ecosystem Science. Princeton University Press.
Princeton, New Jersey. (good overview of modeling in ecoology, not to
technical)
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Haefner, J.W. 2005. Modeling Biological
Systems: Principles and Applications. Springer. New York, New York.
(Good introduction to the development of scientific modling in biology)
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Sarewitz, D., Pielke, R.A., Byerly, R.
2000. Prediction: Science, Decision Making, and the Future of Nature.
Island Press. Washington D.C. (good overview of the prediction process
and lots of case studies)
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Orell, D. The Future of Everything: The
science of Prediction. Thunder's Mouth Press. New York, New York
(interesting book, not that technical but traces the history of
prediction and discusses why it does not always work)
grading
| Online Discussions (4 x 75pts
each) |
300 |
| Aha Moments (3 x 50pts each) |
150 |
| Models in Everyday Life
Assignment |
50 |
| Model Development and Comparison
Assignment Part 1 |
100 |
| Model Development and Comparison
Assignment Part 2 |
250 |
| Model Evaluations (2 x 75pts
each) |
150 |
| Total |
1000 |
| How's my driving discussion |
10 Bonus Points |
I have provided grading rubrics for all the
assignments in this course. In general I will try to give you back both
written comments a copy of the grading rubric for all assignments you
hand in. For the discussions and AHA moments I will grade these
throughout the semester and save your rubrics. Note I will not
send these to you unless you ask for them due to logistics, however all
you have to do is call and ask and I will send your rubric to you and
discuss your grade.
Online Discussion Grading
The online discussions will be your chance to openly discusses several
topics we will talk about in this course. You will be graded on the basis of
your input for each online discussion. One third of your grade will be based
upon quantity, but 2/3 of your grade will be based upon quality (clarity of
ideas and critical thinking) using the following grading rubric:
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Score |
Quantity |
Quality/Clarity |
Quality/Critical
Thought |
 |
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90-100 |
Did the student post
significantly more than two times |
Did the student use new
vocabulary, and make his/her points clearly |
Did the student respond
professionally to the critique or questions of fellow students? |
 |
|
80-89 |
Did the student post at
least twice on each discussion |
Did the student utilize
information and vocabulary from the required readings and presentation |
Did the student build on, or
synthesize, the comments of the preceding students? |
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70-79 |
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As a bare minimum, student
must always be polite to other students. It’s OK – even
enlightening – to disagree, but do so professionally. |
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| 0 |
You will get a
score of zero if you do not participate in the threaded discussion by
the required deadline |

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| Model Evaluation
Assignments |
During the course of this class you will
evaluate 2 models. Each evaluation should be between 1 and 2 pages and include
an introduction, a review of the model objectives, inputs variables, assumptions,
sources of error, limits and uses of the model as well as a conclusion where you
provide your opinion of the model and a brief discussion of the usefulness.
For
More information about these assignments click here!
To view the grading rubric
for this assignment click here!
Aha Moments!
Throughout each topic in this course you
may experience what is termed an "Aha!" moment. These are moments when something
you have been reading or contemplating makes sense with an unexpected clarity. I
will ask you to post on of your "Aha!' moments for different topics throughout
the course.
For each Aha moment you should explain in
some detail what the moment was, and why this moment seemed important to you in
terms of your learning. In general I would like you to contemplate the
experience and synthesize it within the context of other newly acquired
knowledge.
You should spend some time on this
activity since it is reflective and not reactive. It may be helpful to keep a
journal of sorts throughout the class to document your aha moments (this is not
required)
Your grad for the "Aha!" moments will be
based mostly on completing the task but 20 percent will be based on writing
style and your explanation of the moment.
Aha! Moment Grading
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Points
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Quantity
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Quality
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135 -150
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Did the student post at least once for each Aha moment
and responded to others aha moments
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Did the student use new vocabulary and readings, and
clearly synthesis his/her aha moment within the context of newly
acquired knowledge.
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120 - 134
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Did the student post at least once for each Aha moment
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Did the student utilize information and vocabulary
from the required readings and presentation and clearly synthesized
their aha moment.
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105 - 119
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Students did not post at least once for each Aha
moment
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Students did not adequately utilize vocabulary and
information from the required readings and or did not clearly explain
their aha moment.
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0
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You will get a score of zero if you do not participate
in the Aha Moments
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Models in Everyday Life
Assignment
This assignment is designed to provide
you with an opportunity to explore the roles of models in your life. To
view the specifics for this assignment
click here!
To view the grading rubric
for this assignment click here!
Model Development Assignment
The model development assignment is a two
part assignment in which you will develop your own prediction model.
The first part of the assignment is worth 100 points and will require you
submit a draft version of your model objectives statement and your field
methods you will use to collect the data to estimate the parameters in your
model. This report should be no more than 2 pages, I will review and grade
your drafts and return them within 1 week so you can start the second part
of the project. To view the grading rubric for part one and to get more
details about the first part of the assignment
click here.
During the second part of this project you
will go and collect some data, and build your model. You will be required to
not only build the model but test it against an independent data set to
verify your model. to view more information about the second part of this
assignment and to view the grading rubric please
click here.
How's My Driving?
As your instructor it is important to me
that you learn the material in this course, however it is also important that i
present the material and guide the learning process in a meaningful way and
create a learning environment that will help you in this process. If you you
promise to be professional and candid about my teaching, the materials in this
course and the online environment I have set up, i promise to use this
information to strengthen not only this course but my teaching as well. So
please post comments about what is and is not working as well as suggestions
throughout the course I will give up to ten bonus points.
Plagiarism will NOT be tolerated:
In this class, you must summarize,
paraphrase, quote and reference sources to avoid plagiarism in your writing.
Consistent with the policy of the Department of Forest Resources
(http://www.its.uidaho.edu/forres/), plagiarism will not be tolerated.
Plagiarism violates the code of academic conduct at the University of Idaho.
Under UI policy, regulation O-2, "Consequences for academic dishonesty may
be imposed by the course instructor. Such consequences may include but
cannot exceed a grade of "F" in the course" (http://www.uidaho.edu/catalog).
If you are accused of plagiarism, you must meet with the course instructor
and the chair of the department to discuss the evidence, circumstances, and
consequences. If you have indeed plagiarized text, you will receive 0 points
on the assignment, you may fail the course and your unethical behavior will
affect recommendations for jobs and graduate school.
Cite sources to support and lend
credibility to your writing. Please be careful in citing sources for your
ideas when you write. You should be aware that web-based searches for
plagiarized text have become quite sophisticated. Even a sentence or two
plagiarized in a long document is inexcusable. It is very tempting and easy
to copy text directly, but it works against the educational process and is a
form of theft.
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