Millennials Rising. The Next
Great Generation.
Neil Howe and William Strauss. Vintage Books, Random House, New
York. 2000. Softbound.
Endings lead me to think about
beginnings. It seems as though I’ve been thinking about a lot of
endings lately as so many of my friends have recently reached the stage
of their lives when they are ending their job-careers and beginning
their retirement-careers. Another ending and beginning is that this is
the last paper issue of Women in Natural Resources—we will soon
publish online only. I wonder if, in the future, we will speak of
p-publishing to distinguish it from e-publishing, the way we do for mail
and commerce.
Another important issue is, who are the
folks who will succeed us in the workplace? What can we expect from
them? Will the natural resources we have fought so long and hard to
manage (regardless of our definition of the word) be safe in their
hands? Will they appreciate the battles we fought and the freedoms we
won, as the first generation of “women working in the woods”?
Predicting the future, just like predicting the weather, is imperfect at
best. Millennials Rising. The Next Great Generation attempts to
deal with some of these issues and to predict the future, as laid out
before us all in the promise of the youngest generation.
According to information in “About the
Authors” in Millennials Rising, Neil Howe and William Strauss
have been active in “generational issues,” host two relevant web sites (www.millennialsrising.com
and www.fourthturning.com),
and are both parents. They define “Millennials” as people born from
about 1982-2002. In the first chapter of their book, Howe and Strauss
point out that:
As a group, Millennials are unlike any
other youth generation in living memory. They are more numerous, more
affluent, better educated, and more ethnically diverse. More important,
they are beginning to manifest a wide array of positive social habits
that older American no longer associate with youth, including a new
focus on teamwork, achievement, modesty, and good conduct.
The authors begin Millennials Rising
by painting a graphic picture of the generational stew: a thumbnail
portrait of the six generations currently inhabiting the United States,
ranging from the oldest—those born in the late 1800s—to those born after
the calendars rolled over to 2000. They write that a generation
develops a sense of identity during their early work years and that
those in the earlier part of the age span develop it sooner than those
born a little later. However, “Thanks to the media and advertising
obsession with today’s teens . . . this delay has shrunk drastically.
Firstborn Millennials are showing a clearer sense of generation
membership, earlier in their life cycle, than any other youths in
American history.”
So, the authors predict that the:
Millennials will be a generation of
trends . . . and most of these trends will represent a direct
reversal from the trends associated with Boomers. . . . Boomers started
out as the objects of loosening child standards in an era of conformist
adults. Millennials are staring out as the objects of tightening child
standards in an era of nonconformist adults . . . [and] could become the
cleanest-cut young adults in living memory. [emphasis by authors]
Howe and Strauss go on to
demographically describe the Millennials: “One Millennial in five has
at least one immigrant parent, and one in ten has at least one
noncitizen parent.”
The second section of the book is
devoted to describing the Millennial generation, including descriptions
of their parents. They write about Boomers, their parents, and now
their children. They offer the contrast that:
Back then, GI [parents] kept their
doors unlocked for one another, but learned to lock them against one
another’s kids. Boomers learned early to lock their doors (and install
security systems) against their like-aged neighbors—but have lately
begun to unlock them for their neighbor’s kids.
Generally, the GI generation is the one
that fought World War II; the Boomers are their children; Generation X
are those born 1961-1981; and the Millennials are those born 1982-2002.
The authors point out that there are “three attributes [to identify the
persona of a generation]: perceived membership, common beliefs and
behaviors, and a common location in history.”
The third and final section of the book
is devoted to speculation about what the Millennials might accomplish in
their lives. Fully acknowledging that we cannot truly know the answer
to this question, the authors muse on what the Millennials might do to
families, the culture, the economy, or the government. They describe
how and why this generation is different from the Boomers and the Gen-X’ers.
Some of this section reads like “pie in
the sky.” For instance, the authors claim that “By the time Millennials
entirely fill the ranks of college and graduate schools, they will
resolve longstanding debates about substance abuse.” This statement
really seems far-fetched—I’m in the “wait and see” category on this
point.
So, the Millenials seem to know who
they are. But do they know where they are going? That remains to be
seen. And the only way we are going to know the answer is if we live
long enough.
The biggest drawback to Howe and
Strauss’ book is that it was written before September 11, 2001. The
authors make the claim that the shootings at Columbine will shape the
Millennials. As horrific as Columbine was, it falls in the shadow left
by the events of September 11. I wonder if 9/11 will shape this
generation in the same dramatic way that President Kennedy’s
assassination shaped mine, or that the attack on Pearl Harbor shaped my
parent’s generation.
The page layout of Millennials
Rising includes short quotes on the outer margins of both pages.
Many of these are by kids and some are as young as six. Many are quotes
from magazines and newspapers, such as Time and the Washington
Post. I found some quotes to be unexpected. For instance, Chris
Thomas, age 16, says “I’m kinda glad that there are people like the
police who [patrol] juveniles who are out late at night roaming
the streets. We have no right whatsoever to be out past the established
curfew.” Whatever happened to “question everything?” The book also
includes some great cartoons, such as the one that shows a 1970s-era
hippie saying, “My parents are fascist pigs!”; followed by the 1980s
student saying, “My friends are sold-out hypocrites”; followed by the
1990s professor saying “My students are greedy materialists!”; and
finally, the 2000-era parent saying “My children will save us all!”
The history of a generation is always
full of exceptions. For every draft card-burning activist of the 1960s,
there were kids who resembled the conformist 1950s. Predicting future
actions for an entire generation likely focuses only on the center, so
we must leave room for both extremes in our portrait. Even so, this
book provides a glimpse of what the possibilities might be. I read this
book and dreamt of the future. But unlike in a dream, I truly believe
that all of us have to continue to focus on good parenting skills,
whether we are parents, step-parents, grandparents, aunts, uncles, or
just interested friends. We are all responsible for keeping the dream
from morphing into a nightmare.